Monday, September 19, 2011

Where is Singapore Economy heading?

Stupid question, with obvious answer. Our finance minister said that the economy is slowing down. Possibly we will be faced with a recession. A double dip recession.
What was the solution? Let Singdollar depreciate. Those who follow the currency, will have noted that at the beginning of September, US$1 was trading for S$1.20. Today, it is US$1 to about US$1.26. By weakening the Singdollar, it is hoped that it will boost exports. But will it?

For exports to grow, there must be increased consumption. We can leave US & Europe out of the equation. Where else? Africa? Middle East? I don't know. I don't think keeping the S$ low will save jobs. On the other hand, weaker S$ will mean imports will become more expensive. This will lead to higher costs. We will be hit by double whammy. Recession; possibly loss of jobs. And higher prices for food and other essentials. Just be prepared.

Other side effects - with the weaker S$, our properties will begin to look attractive to foreigners. I expect a flood of foreign investors (Or rather, speculators) will pluck our properties. I hope China and Indonesia also get hit, then we will get a chance to get private properties at a bargain.

What can we do? I believe gold and silver will continue to climb higher in US$ terms, and S$ weakening against the US$, its double the profits.

Good luck.